In 2023, global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows reached an estimated $1.37 trillion, marking a slight increase of 3% compared to 2022. This growth defied initial recession concerns, with financial markets performing well throughout the year. However, the positive headline increase was primarily driven by higher values in a few European conduit economies. When excluding these conduits, global FDI flows experienced an 18% decrease.
Within developed countries, FDI in the European Union saw a significant shift from negative $150 billion in 2022 to positive $141 billion, mainly due to substantial fluctuations in Luxembourg and the Netherlands. Disregarding these two countries, inflows to the rest of the EU declined by 23%, with several major recipients experiencing decreases. In other developed countries, FDI flows remained stagnant, showing zero growth in North America and declines in other regions.
Developing countries witnessed a 9% decrease in FDI flows, totaling $841 billion, with most regions experiencing declining or stagnating flows. Developing Asia saw a 12% decrease in FDI, while Africa reported a 1% decline. Latin America and the Caribbean maintained stability, with Central America defying the trend.
International investment project announcements, covering greenfield (primarily industry), project finance (mainly infrastructure), and cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As), generally trended negatively. Higher financing costs in 2023 resulted in a 21% decrease in international project finance deals and a 16% decline in cross-border M&As. Greenfield project announcements saw a 6% decrease in number but a 6% increase in value, indicating signs of recovery, particularly in manufacturing.
Key trends among top FDI recipient economies include:
In developed regions, international investment project announcements showed a universal decrease. M&A values were $280 billion lower than in 2022, directly impacting FDI flows. Project finance deals were $157 billion lower, and lower values of greenfield project announcements are likely to affect 2024 FDI flows.
The United States, the largest FDI recipient, experienced a 3% decrease in FDI inflows in 2023, with a 2% decline in greenfield project numbers and a 5% decrease in project finance deals.
China reported a rare decline in FDI inflows (-6%) but demonstrated growth in new greenfield project announcements (+8%).
ASEAN, typically a driver of FDI growth, reported a 16% decline in FDI. However, the region showcased its attractiveness for manufacturing investment with a 37% increase in greenfield project announcements, particularly in countries like Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Cambodia.
India reported a substantial drop in FDI inflows (-47%), but stable numbers of new project announcements, keeping it in the top 5 global greenfield project destinations.
In West Asia, FDI remained stable (+2%), buoyed by continued robust investment in the United Arab Emirates, witnessing a 28% rise in greenfield announcements. Saudi Arabia also experienced a significant jump of 63% in greenfield numbers.
FDI flows to Africa were nearly flat at an estimated $48 billion (-1%), with greenfield project announcements increasing, notably in Morocco, Kenya, and Nigeria. However, project finance deals dropped by one-third, weakening prospects for infrastructure finance flows.
In Latin America, Brazil reported a 22% decrease in FDI inflows. Greenfield project numbers remained steady, but international project finance experienced a sharp decline, with 40% fewer deals compared to 2022. Mexico, on the other hand, reported increased FDI and a further rise in new greenfield project announcements, solidifying its position among the top global recipients.
Your insights are like a lighthouse in the stormy sea of information, guiding us to clarity.
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteYour positivity is a beacon in the online world. Thank you for spreading joy and inspiration!
Your writing style is so engaging. I couldn't stop reading!
ReplyDeleteI appreciate the commitment to environmental sustainability. A green website!
ReplyDeleteUser-friendly and visually stunning – navigating this site is a breeze
ReplyDelete"The site caters to both beginners and experts."
ReplyDeletemassallah, great content
ReplyDeleteGreat insights! Your post really got me thinking.
ReplyDeleteI love the variety of perspectives presented in the articles.
ReplyDelete
ReplyDelete"The site's layout is like a well-organized workspace – clutter-free and efficient."
stumbled upon this blog and couldn't stop reading! The insightful content, coupled with the author's engaging writing style, made it a captivating experience. Kudos to the writer for delivering such valuable information in a way that keeps readers hooked from start to finish. Looking forward to more enlightening posts like this!"
ReplyDeleteThis is the kind of content I look forward to!
ReplyDeleteFlawless design paired with valuable insights."
ReplyDelete"Just like a catchy tune, this site keeps me coming back for more!"
ReplyDeleteImpressed with the site's responsiveness – works seamlessly on both desktop and mobile.
ReplyDelete"Your website is a testament to the power of genuine connection online. Truly inspiring!"
ReplyDeleteQuality content, a digital treasure chest
ReplyDeleteFinally found that I was looking for.
ReplyDeleteSuch a unique perspective! ✨ Thanks for sharing this.
ReplyDelete